SCENARIO ACTIVE2 Active Scenarios โ€” $355K total exposure
$355,200 SLA exposure
CRITICAL
โ† Decision Objects

NE-01 Full Expedite โ€” Q4 2023 Demand Spike (BAD OUTCOME)

DO-2023-SC-0031

DBAD
Revenue Protected
Actual Cost
Net Margin
Quality Score
Decision Metadata
Trigger
DEMAND_SPIKE
SKUs Involved
SKU-1042, SKU-1043, SKU-1045
Locations
NE-01
Authority Tier
L2_ANALYST
Approved By
โ€”
Confidence at Decision
42%
Created
10/20/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Closed
11/1/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Action Decision
RecommendedEXPEDITE_ORDER
Final Action (approved)EXPEDITE_ORDER
Outcome Notes

CRITICAL FAILURE: Full-network expedite placed with SUP-A at 35% premium across all 3 SKUs. Concurrent transfer from MW-02 also executed, resulting in double-coverage. Arrived inventory could not be absorbed โ€” had to mark down $18K to clear excess. Net margin impact: -$31K vs. +$14K expected. Root cause: recommendation engine did not have tribal knowledge that transfer + partial expedite (not full expedite) was the appropriate split. This DO generated pattern P-006 (Selective Expedite) and degraded full-expedite confidence to 0.42.